Congratulations Andrew on persuading such a great range of experts to attempt to predict 2019. Good gender balance too. It’s also great to expand the usual spectrum of domain commenters, for example by including CENTR and BrandSight.
One notable theme is that a number predicted growth for either the new gTLDs or the dot brands. That makes sense, given the evidence so far. Nobody predicts a decline.
This shouldn’t be surprising when the evidence is considered…
In 2017, Donuts was named NUMBER ONE in Deloitte’s “2017 Technology Fast 500 Ranking Recognizing growth.”
(Congratulations Mariah Reilly!)
Speaking of CENTR (the Council of European National Top-Level Domain Registries) – a November report stated that new gTLDs are up 11 per cent:
“Overall, domains under the new gTLDs total some 22.5 million – up 11% from 1 year prior. While many new gTLDs are growing well, roughly one third of the top 300 have contracted over the year. Larger legacy gTLDs such as .net, .org and .info have also seen declines, while .com has been increasing its growth rates. New entrant .app exploded into the market in the middle of year and has around 320K domains so far.”
There’s a PDF link: “CENTRstats Global TLD Report 2018/3”.
Since then new gTLDs have leapt by about FOUR MILLION, as displayed at ntldstats.com. If you pull up the five year chart you can conduct your own technical analysis.
(You should see a chart with two sliders on the right. Pull the left slider all the way to the left and you should see the five year. The result is a consistent line of growth going up. (The “hump” can likely be explained by all the silly one penny registrations).